Nigeria Debt-GDP Ratio Could Hit 68% – IMF Raises Concern

Charles Etuka

Sub-saharan Africa faces a huge challenge, made worse by the coronavirus pandemic, to find nearly $900 billion to repay massive debt and fund essential public spending, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned Thursday.

In a special report, the IMF said the region would require some $890 billion in external financing — equal to 55 percent of its total annual economic output — between now and 2023.

While the G20 countries have offered African states debt relief, they should do more and be “more audacious” in their help, the IMF said.

The IMF noted that the Sub-saharan region had been on course to reduce its debt burden but it now looks as if the debt-GDP ratio will hit 65 percent by the end of this year when it had been relatively stable at 55 percent.

The debt-GDP ratio of Nigeria, the biggest economy in the Sub-saharan region, could hit 68 per cent, as it suffers from lower oil prices and demand.

The IMF said regional states would need to spend $480 billion just to finance their external debt, with the rest going to cover budget deficits.

Of the total $890 billion, about less than half is expected to come from private sources and about a quarter from institutions such as the IMF, it said.

For the moment, it is not yet known where the remaining $290 billion will come from, leaving the region facing a “financial gap.”

The Washington-based lender said the G20 will have to do more, giving regional countries more leeway to tackle the coronavirus, and adding that it had stumped up $16 billion over the past six months in the region.